Bearing steel market will remain in low status in May
Table 1: Domestic Output of Crude Steel by Bearing Steel Manufacturers from January to March in 2014 (Unit: ton)
Seen from Table 1 that the top three for bearing steel output from January to March in 2014 are Zhongxin Special Steel (Xinye Steel and Xingcheng Special Steel), Dongbei Speical Steel and Juneng Steel. (for Sha Steel, only the yield of Huai Steel is counted; some modifications are made to the statistical method for calculating Baosteel's output). Among these 21 companies, the crude bearing steel ouput of 11 companies rose while 10 fell.
II. Performance of Domestic Bearing Steel Market in April:
(i) The export volume of bearing steel fell QoQ in March 2014
According to the statistical data released by the ten major domestic bearing steel manufacturers, the bearing steel export volume was 9,281 tons in March, 2014, down 41.78% YoY; the cumulative export volume in the same period was 29,278 tons, decreased by 5,191 tons YoY.
Figure 2: Bearing Steel Export Situation in Major Domestic Special Steel Enterprises from 2013 to 2014
Data Resource: MRI
(ii) The prices in bearing steel market fell slightly in March
The detailed situations of bearing steel markets across the country in April are as follows:
Hangzhou market: the prevailing price of standard GCr15 continuous casting non-annealed steel was 4500 yuan/ton.
Luoyang market: the prevailing price of standard GCr15 continuous casting non-annealed steel was 4,750 yuan/ton, and the prevailing price of GCr15 die-casting annealed steel was 7,800 yuan/ton.
Xi'an market: the quoted price of standard GCr15 continuous casting non-annealed steel was 4,900 yuan/ton.
As for Shenyang market, the average knock-down price of standard GCr15 continuous casting non-annealed steel was 4,100 yuan/ton, and the quoted price of GCr15 die-casting annealed steel was 6,400 yuan/ton.
Table 2: Summary of Sales Price of Major Bearing Steel Manufacturers in East China (standard continuous casting non-annealed steel bar) Unit: yuan
Data
PMI index
HSBC China Manufacturing PMI was 48.3 in April, up 0.3 over the end value of March, ending the decline trend that has continued for five consecutive months.
Development Index
Development index was 9.69 % in 21 March, down 10.47 % over the index during January and February. The overall economic growth appeared weak.
Liquidity
The above-scale industrial enterprises realized a total profit of 513.16 billion yuan in March, with an increase of 10.7% yoy, up 1.3% over the same in January-February.
Machinery Industry
The mechanical industrial added value in January-March has dropped to 11.8% from 12.7% reported in January-February; the growth in the month of March is only 10.4%.
In summary, the bearing steel market is expected to stay low in May.
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Next Aug 17 Bearing Steel Price in Different Regions of China
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